Subscriber Login
 
  Username:
 
 
  Password:  
 
Forgot Your Password?
SUBSCRIBE NOW
30 Day Trial
  Online:
Subscribe here online
  Mail:
Print out Subscription Form
[pdf format | html version]
  Fax:
Print out Subscription Form
[pdf format | html version]
  Phone:
Subscribe now by calling:
(800) 392-0998
(toll-free)
     
 
 
TechStock Radar
E-mail: Rob@techstockprospector.com
Technorati
August 2017
Archives
 
Friday, August 18, 2017, 10:11 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Snap Faces Ample Near-Term Hurdles

Aegis is keeping its ‘Hold’ rating on Snap (SNAP, $13.65), but raises its price target to $15 from $14, saying it’s incrementally more positive on the company’s long-term outlook following a call with management. 


However, the firm says there are still plenty of near-term hurdles that Snap needs to overcome before it could get more constructive on the stock. 


Snap must work to attract more advertisers, improve measurement & analytics, solve user growth issues on Android and respond to competitive challenges from Instagram.

 
Friday, August 18, 2017, 9:39 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Technical Alert: Russell 2000

The Russell 2000 Small-Cap Index—now at 1,350—closed yesterday below its 200-day moving average (of 1,375) for the first time since June 2016.

 
Friday, August 18, 2017, 9:35 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
August Issue of TSP Available on Kindle

Download the new issue of Tech-Stock Prospector to your Kindle or Kindle reading app for iOS (iPad & iPhone) and Android. 


Order the latest issue of TSP here.



Here are some of the topics covered in the August 2017 issue:


*Q2 tech earnings season overview

*Assessing tech stock valuations

*Apple embraces augmented reality (AR)

*Trend Watch: Emerging AR use cases

*Facebook starts to monetize messaging

*Deal Report: The outlook for Snap shares

*Improved momentum at Tableau Software

*Brands look for new ways to engage with customers

*How Zendesk can reach its 2020 revenue goal

*Intel delivers upbeat guidance


*Salesforce positioned for its next growth phase

*Why ServiceNow is the king of automation

*A rare stumble at Ultimate Software

*Tech Focus: Application integration

*MuleSoft pushes the application network
*Trend Watch: Managing security in the cloud

*How Microsoft is fueling security upgrades

*Consistent execution continues at Varonis

*Imperva refocuses on profitability

*Proofpoint attracts large enterprise customers

 
Thursday, August 17, 2017, 10:04 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
BTIG Likes Check Point on Pullback

BTIG Research sees the recent pullback in Check Point Software (CHKP, $108.09) shares as a buying opportunity. The stock has retreated from the 52-week high of $116.63 set in the middle of July.


The firm maintains its price target of $118, saying it believes Check Point remains well positioned to benefit from organizations continuing to consolidate their security spend.

 
Thursday, August 17, 2017, 9:53 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Jefferies Bullish on Nutanix

Nutanix (NTNX, $22.83) shares this morning are up 5% after Jefferies starts coverage at ‘Buy’ with a price target of $30 based on valuation. 


The firm believes the market is not fully appreciating Nutanix’s recurring software content.


For more on Nutanix, see TechStock Radar—July 14, 2017. 


Tech-Stock Prospector subscribers should see the July 2017 issue (TSP #185).

 
Wednesday, August 16, 2017, 11:03 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
SunTrust Starts Amazon at 'Buy'

SunTrust starts Amazon (AMZN, $979) at ‘Buy’ with a price target of $1,220, saying the company has several sustainable competitive advantages, including its “maniacal focus on the customer and its leveraging of technology innovation.”

 
Wednesday, August 16, 2017, 10:58 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Chart Watch: Splunk

Following the recent dip (to a low of $56.80 from the July high of $62.30), Splunk (SPLK, $60.03) shares are trying to rebound. The stock this morning moved back above the 200-day moving average of $59.87.

 
Wednesday, August 16, 2017, 10:35 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
SunTrust Sets Facebook PT at $210

SunTrust starts coverage of Facebook (FB, $170) at ‘Buy’ with a price target of $210 based on expectations for a 2017-2022 revenue CAGR of roughly 25%. The firm thinks Facebook’s continued innovations with respect to better ad targeting will increase the company’s value to advertisers.

 
Tuesday, August 15, 2017, 11:18 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
T. Rowe Price Likes Palo Alto Networks

T. Rowe Price in Q2 became a top 10 holder of Palo Alto Networks (PANW, $131.33) after purchasing 1.25 million shares. The money manager now owns 2.03 million shares.


T. Rowe Price was the #2 Palo Alto buyer in the quarter, behind American Century’s purchase of 1.46 million shares.

 
Tuesday, August 15, 2017, 10:27 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Cantor Upgrades Snap

Cantor upgrades Snap (SNAP, $13.05) to ‘Overweight’ with a price target of $15 based on a more attractive risk/reward profile following the sharp pullback since the Q2 earnings report. 


With improved ad technology and increased engagement, the firm thinks there could be “significant upside” to Snap’s average revenue per user in 2018 and beyond.

 
Monday, August 14, 2017, 11:02 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Canaccord Ups NVIDIA PT to $190

Canaccord boosts its NVIDIA (NVDA, $162.08) price target to $190 from $180, saying the company continues to execute well across several secular growth markets. 


The firm sees NVIDIA capitalizing on new trends in deep learning, virtual/augmented reality and autonomous driving.

 
Monday, August 14, 2017, 10:26 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Fidelity Builds Twilio Position

Fidelity has been building up its Twilio (TWLO, $31.67) position, adding 1.52 million shares in Q2. The mutual fund giant now owns 9.25 million shares.


In Q4 2016, Fidelity bought 3.77 million shares. It then added 2.67 million shares in Q1.

 
Monday, August 14, 2017, 10:04 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Credit Suisse Still Bullish on Ultimate

Credit Suisse lowers its Ultimate Software (ULTI, $195.51) price target to $245 from $260, citing the company’s worst miss and guide down in almost 10 years. 


With the Q2 shortfall and weak Q3 guidance attributed to delayed implementations at larger new customers, the firm believes the problem is fixable, saying it views the recent weakness in the stock as a “very good” buying opportunity for long-term investors.


For more on Ultimate, see TechStock Radar—August 2, 2017.

 
Friday, August 11, 2017, 11:15 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Stifel Lowers Snap Target to $18

Stifel argues that the ad-buying mix shifting significantly to the recently launched API/self-serve platform was the primary reason behind the Q2 revenue miss at Snap (SNAP, $12.18). 


The change pressured the company’s ad prices, but the move will broaden advertiser demand over time, says the firm.


Stifel reduces its Snap price target to $18 from $22, but maintains its ‘Buy’ rating.

 
Friday, August 11, 2017, 10:53 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Jefferies Cuts Snap PT to $16

Jefferies keeps its ‘Buy’ rating on Snap (SNAP, $12.33), but lowers its price target to $16 from $30. The firm believes the long-term positive thesis remains intact based on expanding engagement. Jefferies thinks patient investors should look through the near-term noise.


In Q2, Snap added 7.3 million DAUs, bringing the total to 173 million, below the consensus estimate of 176 million. While Q2 global ARPU of $1.05 was up from 90 cents in Q1, it missed the consensus of $1.07.


Snap shares this morning are down more than 10%. Earlier, the stock traded to a new post-IPO low of $11.81.

 
Thursday, August 10, 2017, 11:12 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Looking Ahead to Snap's Q3

With Snap (SNAP, $13.35) set to report Q2 results after the close, JP Morgan is already looking ahead to Q3, and thinks expectations are too high.


The Q3 consensus revenue estimate is $272.1 million, with the Street-low estimate at $213 million.


For Q2, the consensus revenue estimate of $186.2 million is below the JP Morgan estimate of $188 million. The firm looks for Q2 DAU net adds of 8 million.

 
Thursday, August 10, 2017, 9:58 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Russell 2000 Breaks Down

The Russell 2000—now at 1,389—is trading at its lowest level in two months. The RSI is down to 35.5. 


The small-cap index has dipped below its 50-day moving average of 1,417, but still remains above its 200-day moving average, which is trending upward from 1,369.

 
Wednesday, August 9, 2017, 11:30 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Piper Jaffray Hikes Netflix Target to $215

Piper Jaffray raises its Netflix (NFLX, $173) price target to $215 from $198 based on increased international subscriber estimates. 


The firm expects Netflix by 2020 will reach 64 million domestic subs, representing 50% U.S. household penetration. 


On the international front, Piper Jaffray thinks Netflix during the same timeframe can reach 100 million subs, with “zero or very minimal penetration” in lower-income markets.

 
Wednesday, August 9, 2017, 10:45 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
RingCentral Jumps on Buyout Chatter

A Bloomberg report out this morning saying RingCentral (RNG, $39.56) is working with an adviser after receiving takeover interest sent the stock to a new all-time high of $43.05. The shares are currently up 10%.


RingCentral is an emerging player in cloud-based business communications. The company’s flagship Office product replaces on-prem phone systems from Cisco, Avaya and ShoreTel.


We profiled RingCentral in the October 2015 issue of Tech-Stock Prospector (TSP #164), when the shares were trading around $18.50.

 
Tuesday, August 8, 2017, 10:19 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
MKM & Mizuho Bullish on Amazon

MKM Partners raises its Amazon (AMZN, $989) price target to $1,275 from $1,095 based on an increased revenue outlook. Until investors can see a limit on overall growth opportunities, revenue growth and market-share gains will matter more than profitability, says the firm.


Mizuho reinstates Amazon at ‘Buy’ with a price target of $1,250, saying it sees the next pillar of growth likely to come from advertising through voice search, which would allow brands to sell directly to consumers. The firm believes Amazon has many levers to harness its monetization potential.

 
Tuesday, August 8, 2017, 9:42 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Chart Watch: Ultimate Software

Shares of Ultimate Software (ULTI, $192.19) remain under pressure after last week’s Q2 earnings report. 


The RSI is now in oversold territory at 27.5. The 50-day moving average has turned downward from $215.93. 


There is support at the March low of $187.17 and the February low of $185.


For more on Ultimate, see TechStock Radar—August 2, 2017.

 
Monday, August 7, 2017, 10:35 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Morgan Stanley Ups NXP Semi Target

Morgan Stanley lifts its NXP Semiconductors (NXPI, $112.77) price target to $117.50 from $110, saying shareholders have the upper hand in seeking to push for a higher takeover price from Qualcomm (QCOM). 


The firm believes a higher bid would be inconsequential to Qualcomm’s balance sheet and deal accretion.


On Friday. activist investor Elliott disclosed a 6% stake in NXP Semi, saying it believes the shares are undervalued.

 
Monday, August 7, 2017, 9:58 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Deutsche Bank Trims Snap Target

Deutsche Bank lowers its Snap (SNAP, $13.89) price target to $20 from $23, but remains positive about the company’s ad products/technology and overall growth prospects. The firm says advertiser checks are improving, which could lead to a better 2H’17.

 
Friday, August 4, 2017, 11:11 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Yelp Shares Jump 27%

Yelp (YELP, $39.99) shares this morning are surging 27% after the company last night reported Q2 EPS of 25 cents (four cents above the consensus estimate) on revenue of $209.9 million (+21% y/y), vs. the consensus of $204.9 million.


For 2017, Yelp raised the low end of its revenue guidance range to $855 million from $850 million, keeping the high end at $865 million. The consensus was $855.7 million.


Yelp also announced a $200-million shares repurchase authorization.

 
Friday, August 4, 2017, 10:17 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Chart Watch: Tableau

Following yesterday 9% gain, shares of Tableau Software (DATA, $70.33) this morning hit a new 52-week high at $70.99. The RSI is up to 71.4.


The stock is now well into the large gap on the price chart from back in early 2016 that extends up to $77.73.

 
Thursday, August 3, 2017, 10:37 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Stifel Ups Paycom Target to $80

Stifel raises its Paycom Software (PAYC, $69.20) price target to $80 from $67 and OpCo goes to $75 from $65 following this week’s Q2 earnings report, which beat on both the top and bottom lines.


EPS of 26 cents topped the consensus estimate by six cents on revenue of $98.2 million (+33% y/y), above the consensus of $95.7 million.


For Q3, the company sees revenue of $99 million to $101 million, vs. the consensus of $99.7 million.


KeyBanc says the solid Q2 results validate Paycom’s differentiated approach in cloud payroll and HR software aimed at small and midsize businesses. Stifel calls out Paycom’s limited penetration of a large market opportunity.

 
Thursday, August 3, 2017, 10:10 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
UBS Lifts Tableau Target to $74

UBS raises its Tableau Software (DATA, $68.84) price target to $74 from $68, saying Q2 results beat on most measures even though strong subscription adoption remains a license revenue growth headwind.


Total revenue in Q2 rose 7% to $212.9 million, topping the consensus estimate of $211.3 million. The guidance range was $205 million to $215 million.


UBS continues to like the long-term value creation potential of the shift toward subscriptions and is encouraged by the company’s ability to manage through downward revenue pressure in the near-term.

 
Wednesday, August 2, 2017, 10:35 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Ultimate Software Shares Tumble 11%

Blaming deal timing issues, Ultimate Software (ULTI, $200.98) last night missed Q2 revenue expectations and offered downside guidance. The stock this morning is off more than 11%.


The provider of cloud-based HCM solutions says enterprise time-to-live has expanded by two to three months, with mid-market deals seeing one to two month extensions. 


Canaccord Genuity lowers its Ultimate price target to $225 from $240, but remains positive over the long term because it has seen this exact same issue before. Back in 2008, when Ultimate first started to move up-market, time-to-live extended as implementation requirements became more complex, says the firm. Canaccord recalls management adjusted the model and ultimately got the business back on track.

 
Wednesday, August 2, 2017, 9:55 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
A New All-Time High for Apple

Apple (AAPL, $158.44) shares this morning traded to a new all-time high of $159.75, powered by last night’s strong fiscal Q3 (June) results and bullish FQ4 guidance.


Revenue in the latest quarter of $45.4 billion beat the consensus estimate of $44.8 billion. Unit sales of the iPhone held up well ahead of the upcoming new product launch, while the iPad business did much better than expected. 


For FQ4, the company sees revenue of $49 billion to $52 billion, vs. the consensus of $49.2 billion.


Apple is a long-term holding in the Tech-Stock Prospector Vulture Portfolio, added in May 2013, when the stock was trading around $61.70.

 
Tuesday, August 1, 2017, 10:56 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Shopify +7% on Strong Q2 Report

Shopify (SHOP, $99.21) shares this morning are up more than 7% after the company reports yet another stellar quarter. Earlier in the session, the stock hit a new all-time high of $105.79.


In Q2, revenue rose 75% to $151.7 million, topping the consensus estimate of $143.6 million. 


Another record number of merchants joined the platform in the latest quarter. Shopify now powers more than 500,000 businesses in 175 countries.


Monthly recurring revenue (MRR) of $23.7 million was up 64%, acceleration from 62% growth in Q1. That powered Q2 Subscription Solutions revenue growth to accelerate to 64% from 60% in Q1.


GMV rose 74% to $5.8 billion. GMV processed through Shopify Payments totaled $2.2 billion, representing 38% of total GMV.


For Q3, Shopify expects revenue of $164 million to $166 million, vs. the consensus of $156.5 million.


For 2017, the revised revenue guidance range is $642 million to $648 million, up from $615 million to $630 million previously. The consensus is $628.4 million.


In the April 2017 issue of Tech-Stock Prospector (TSP #182), we noted that investors were finally coming around to the massive growth story at Shopify. At the time, the stock was trading around $68.75.

 
Tuesday, August 1, 2017, 10:09 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Chart Watch: Amazon

Amazon (AMZN, $1,005) shares this morning are rallying back above the 50-day moving average of $997. 


Yesterday, the stock dipped to a low of $987.02, down from the all-time high of $1,083.31 reached last week.


The uptrend from the November 2016 low of $710.10 remains in place.

   
  1401 Q Street NW, Suite 603, Washington DC 20009.
(800) 392-0998 | customer-service@techstockprospector.com
©Copyright 2017 by Tech Stock Prospector, LLC. All Rights Reserved.