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TechStock Radar
E-mail: Rob@techstockprospector.com
Technorati
July 2015
Archives
 
Friday, July 31, 2015, 12:10 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Chart Watch: Workday

Shares of Workday (WDAY, $84.24) are trying to work their way back above the 200-day moving average, which is trending sideways at $85.13. 


Earlier this month, the stock failed on its first test of the average, hitting resistance at $85.25 on the rebound off the July 6 low of $74.26. The RSI stands at 59.6.

 
Friday, July 31, 2015, 10:33 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Chart Watch: Apple

Shares of Apple (AAPL, $121.27) are once again on the retreat, setting up for a potential test of the 200-day moving average at $120.21. The RSI is weak, falling from 37.5. The 50-day moving average is now trending downward from $127.13.

 
Friday, July 31, 2015, 9:04 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Citi Ups GoPro to 'Buy'

Citi upgrades GoPro (GPRO, $61.69) to ‘Buy’ and raises its price target to $90 from $63, saying the company will be a beneficiary of megatrends in flying cameras and virtual reality. 


The firm believes GoPro could become a top-two player in the flying camera market, which it estimates to be worth $5 billion to $10 billion in five years.

 
Thursday, July 30, 2015, 12:27 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Goldman Boosts Facebook Target

Goldman Sachs boosts its Facebook (FB, $94.21) price target to $110 from $102, saying the company’s mobile ad story continues on its strong upward trajectory, with potential upside drivers in 2H’15 from Instagram, video and dynamic product ads.

 
Thursday, July 30, 2015, 10:14 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Jefferies Lifts Facebook Target to $120

Jefferies ups its Facebook (FB, $92.70) price target to $120 from $105 based on impressive mobile ad growth. Looking ahead, the firm says it continues to see multiple meaningful growth levers in Instagram, new ad formats (including video), the Facebook Audience Network, improved ad pricing and WhatsApp.

 
Thursday, July 30, 2015, 9:04 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Sterne Agee CRT Ups Facebook PT to $110

Following the release of last night’s Q2 results, Sterne Agee CRT raises its Facebook (FB, $96.99) price target to $110 from $92 based on continued solid user growth (MAUs +13%) and strong engagement (DAU/MAU at a record 65%).


In addition, the Instagram, Messenger and WhatsApp communities continue to grow, and represent large future monetization opportunities, says the firm.

 
Wednesday, July 29, 2015, 11:09 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
RBC Capital Trims Twitter Target to $41

RBC Capital reduces its Twitter (TWTR, $31.63) price target to $41 from $47, saying soft MAU trends are causing revenue growth deceleration. 


The analyst says management has not given any clarity with respect to upcoming product and UI changes that could at least stabilize usage metrics. 


The concern is potential advertisers now have good reasons to hold off on major new commitments to the service.

 
Wednesday, July 29, 2015, 10:04 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
OpCo Upgrades FireEye

OpCo upgrades FireEye (FEYE, $46.15) to ‘Outperform’ with a price target of $58 based on positive Q2 checks. Looking longer term, the firm is upbeat on FireEye’s expanding subscription security business.


For Q2, the consensus revenue estimate of $143.1 million represents growth of 51.5%. FireEye reports results tomorrow after the close.

 
Wednesday, July 29, 2015, 9:04 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Bernstein & Nomura Cut Twitter PT to $33

Bernstein reduces its Twitter (TWTR, $32.26 pre market, -11.8%) price target to $33 from $47, saying the shares are unattractive based on poor user growth and a high valuation.


Nomura also cuts its target to $33 based on slower user growth. In Q2, Twitter’s U.S. MAUs were flat sequentially at 66 million.

 
Tuesday, July 28, 2015, 5:14 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Twitter Q2 Results Top Estimates

After rising 5.3% during the regular session, Twitter (TWTR, $37.91 after hours, +3.6%) shares are gaining more than 3% in after-hours trading following better-than-expected Q2 results:


EPS of seven cents beat the consensus estimate by three cents on revenue of $502 million (+61% y/y), above the consensus of $481.3 million and the high end of the guidance range of $470 million to $485 million.


Ad revenue rose 63% to $452 million. Mobile ad revenue accounted for 88% of total ad revenue.


MAUs (including SMS Fast Followers) totaled 316 million, vs. 308 million in Q1. Excluding SMS, MAUs were 304 million (+12% y/y), a gain of 2 million sequentially. Mobile accounted for 80% of total MAUs.


For Q3, revenue guidance of $545 million to $560 million fell short of the consensus of $555.7 million at the midpoint of $552.5 million.


For 2015, Twitter raises the low end of the revenue guidance range to $2.2 billion from $2.17 billion, but keeps the high end at $2.27 billion. The consensus is $2.2 billion.

 
Tuesday, July 28, 2015, 10:03 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
GrubHub Q2 Beats Estimates

GrubHub (GRUB, $30.53) reports Q2 EPS of 17 cents, four cents above the consensus estimate, on revenue of $88 million (+47% y/y), vs. the consensus of $85.2 million.


Active diners rose 42% to 5.93 million. Average daily grubs of 220,100 advanced 26%.


For Q3, the company sees revenue of $85 million to $87 million, vs. the consensus of $85.6 million.

 
Tuesday, July 28, 2015, 9:02 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Deutsche Bank Downgrades Yelp

Deutsche Bank downgrades Yelp (YELP, $33.76) to ‘Hold’ and lowers its price target to $31 from $56, saying the company “has seen what appears to be deteriorating sales force productivity and/or rising churn over the past several quarters, with limited growth in net new local advertising accounts.”

 
Monday, July 27, 2015, 12:21 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Pacific Crest Upgrades Box

Pacific Crest upgrades Box (BOX, $16.58), a provider of enterprise cloud storage and collaboration solutions, to ‘Overweight’ with a price target of $24 based on what it believes to be a compelling risk/reward balance for the stock at current levels. 


The firm is upbeat on Box’s expanded product portfolio and recent key customer wins.


In fiscal Q1 (April), Box’s revenue grew 45% to $65.6 million. Billings were up 58% to $69.8 million. The company added more than 2,000 accounts and now has more than 47,000 customers.


For fiscal 2016 (Jan.), the consensus revenue estimate of $289.5 million represents growth of 33.8%.

 
Monday, July 27, 2015, 10:02 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Raymond James Lifts Facebook Target

Raymond James raises its Facebook (FB, $94.93) price target to $110 from $90, saying it expects continued strength from advertiser adoption of video ads and dynamic product ads to drive upside surprises.

 
Monday, July 27, 2015, 9:04 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Cowen Downgrades GrubHub

Cowen downgrades GrubHub (GRUB, $33.82) to ‘Market Perform’ and reduces its price target to $30 from $39 based on concerns about increased competition in the restaurant delivery segment, particularly in the important markets of San Francisco, New York City and Chicago. The firm is concerned GrubHub will need to increase spend to remain competitive.

 
Friday, July 24, 2015, 12:58 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
RBC Capital Ups Qlik Target to $48

RBC Capital lifts its Qlik Technologies (QLIK, $40.12) price target to $48 from $44 based on growing platform momentum and conservative guidance. 


The firm says Q2 results showed broad-based strength across all geographies for the company’s analytics solutions. 


Large deal activity was robust, a benefit of an expanded product platform. Qlik Sense adoption is accelerating faster than the company had expected, says RBC.


Qlik shares today are up more than 6% on heavy volume. Earlier, the stock hit an all-time high at $42.06.

 
Friday, July 24, 2015, 10:16 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Apple Estimate Update

Over the past week, the fiscal 2015 (Sept.) consensus EPS estimate for Apple (AAPL, $125.42) has advanced to $9.12 from $9.08, while the FY’16 consensus has dipped to $9.75 from $9.77.

 
Friday, July 24, 2015, 9:11 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
NetSuite Delivers Strong Q2

NetSuite (N, $92.02), a provider of cloud-based ERP solutions, last night reported Q2 revenue rose 35% to $177.3 million (including a currency impact of $3 million), well above the consensus estimate of $172.1 million and the high end of the guidance range of $170 million to $172 million.


Calculated billings were up 37.6% (+33% ex-Bronto acquisition). Deferred revenue gained 38% to a record $348 million.  


For Q3, NetSuite’s revenue guidance range of $192 million to $194 million compares favorably to the consensus of $192.4 million.


For 2015, revenue guidance was raised: $735 million to $745 million, vs. $730 million to $743 million previously. 

 
Thursday, July 23, 2015, 12:03 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Chart Watch: Splunk

Shares of Splunk (SPLK, $75.39) today are gaining nearly 3% and have hit a new 52-week high at $76.29. 


The RSI is rising from 66.8. Both the 50- and 200-day moving averages continue to trend upward. 


The key resistance levels to watch: $76.26 (April 2014), $90 (May 2014) and $90.49 (May 2014).

 
Thursday, July 23, 2015, 11:03 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
JP Morgan Upgrades Fortinet

JP Morgan upgrades Fortinet (FTNT, $47.20) to ‘Overweight’ and raises its price target to $54 from $40, saying recent investments to move more up-market into the enterprise are paying off. 


In Q2, the number of deals over $100K rose 53%. Revenue growth in the Americas (45% of total revenue) accelerated to 39% from 26% in Q1, driven by 90% growth in the U.S. enterprise business.

 
Thursday, July 23, 2015, 10:29 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Fortinet Surges 12%

Following last night’s excellent Q2 earnings report, shares of security vendor Fortinet (FTNT, $47.59) this morning are surging more than 12% on heavy volume. The stock hit a new all-time high at $47.83.


Fortinet was added to the Tech-Stock Prospector Small-Cap Portfolio in July 2011 at $20.75 a share.


Read more about Fortinet in the new issue of Tech-Stock Prospector


The July 2015 issue of TSP is available here for download to your Kindle or Kindle for iPad/iPhone reading app.

 
Thursday, July 23, 2015, 9:12 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Morgan Stanley Cautious on PayPal

Morgan Stanley is neutral on PayPal (PYPL, $38.39), saying much of the growth story is already priced into the stock. While calling it a “dominant player” in payments capable of above-industry growth in the near term, the firm points out that PayPal needs to adapt to the evolving landscape and increased competition from new entrants, especially in the mobile payments category. Morgan Stanley’s PayPal price target is $36.

 
Wednesday, July 22, 2015, 12:03 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Chart Watch: Skyworks

Shares of mobile chipmaker Skyworks Solutions (SWKS, $97.06) today are being pulled down by concerns about iPhone unit sales missing the consensus in the latest quarter.


The stock failed on its recent rebound to the 50-day moving average at $103.98 and today is falling more than 6% on heavy volume.


There is short-term support at the pivot low of $93.27 from earlier this month.


The 200-day moving average continues to trend upward from $84.39.

 
Wednesday, July 22, 2015, 11:01 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Citi Sets PayPal Target at $47

Citi starts coverage of PayPal (PYPL, $39.01) at ‘Buy’ with a price target of $47 based on the company’s strong position in digital and mobile payments. The firm believes PayPal is capable of delivering revenue growth of 15%. Citi points out mobile transactions have been growing 40%+.

 
Wednesday, July 22, 2015, 9:01 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
UBS Remains Positive on Apple

UBS maintains its Apple (AAPL, $121.65 pre market, -6.9%) price target of $150, saying it doesn’t see a reason to get scared out of the stock, pointing out these positives from FQ3:


1-iPhone ASP of $660 was up $99 y/y

2-China continues to drive results, with revenue more than doubling 

3-Switching from Android is at an all-time high, with opportunity for significant share gains in emerging markets (35% of revenue)

4-Downside in the stock appears limited as long as gross margin remains in upper-30% range

 
Tuesday, July 21, 2015, 4:58 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Apple -6% AH on FQ3 iPhone Miss

On the release of fiscal Q3 (June) results, Apple (AAPL, $122) shares are down 6.6% after hours because iPhone unit sales of 47.5 million fell short of expectations by 1.5 million units. 


EPS of $1.85 beat the consensus estimate by four cents on revenue of $49.6 billion, vs. the consensus of $49.3 billion. Gross margin of 39.7% topped the consensus of 39.5%.


iPad unit sales totaled 10.9 million (the consensus was 10.8 million) and Mac unit sales came in at 4.8 million (the consensus was 4.7 million).

 
Tuesday, July 21, 2015, 3:10 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Dougherty Bullish on CyberArk

Dougherty & Co. starts coverage of CyberArk Software (CYBR, $57.02) at ‘Buy’ with a price target of $70 based on an outlook for 30% annual revenue growth through 2018. 


The firm likes that CyberArk’s security solutions are used in conjunction with traditional perimeter offerings (NGFW,  ATP and IPS) instead of competing against them. 


Dougherty expects continued breaches to increase overall security spending inside the network, with an expanded focus on privileged account security (PAS), which is CyberArk’s specialty. 


For our latest update on CyberArk, read the new issue of Tech-Stock Prospector on your Kindle or Kindle for iPad/iPhone reading app. Download the July 2015 issue here.

 
Tuesday, July 21, 2015, 11:07 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Google Estimates on the Rise

Earnings estimate are getting bumped up for Google (GOOGL, $693.36) following the company's solid Q2 report. 


For 2015, the consensus EPS estimate over the past week has risen to $28.89 from $28.27, while the ’16 consensus jumped to $33.65 from $32.71.


Analysts on average look for top-line growth next year to accelerate to 15.1% from 12.5% expected this year.

 
Tuesday, July 21, 2015, 10:02 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Piper Jaffray Negative on PayPal

Piper Jaffray starts PayPal (PYPL, $40.88) at ‘Underweight’ with a price target of $30 based on the argument that increased competition in global payments could weigh on the stock’s valuation. 


The firm points to Apple Pay and Android Pay gaining traction at POS, with a move to extend these offerings into the mobile/desktop Web payments landscape. Interest in payments at Facebook (FB) and Amazon (AMZN) could lead to more digital wallet competitive threats over the next 24 months, says Piper Jaffray.

 
Tuesday, July 21, 2015, 9:05 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
OpCo Bullish on TripAdvisor

OpCo ups its TripAdvisor (TRIP, $91.99) price target to $105 from $90 based on a more positive 2H view for online travel. The firm has increased confidence that TripAdvisor’s hotel inventory is selling well. Site traffic is accelerating and mobile conversions appear to be improving, according to OpCo.


TripAdvisor shares have rebounded 24% from the June 4 low of $74.14.

 
Monday, July 20, 2015, 4:12 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Box Dips Ahead of Lock-Up Expiration

Ahead of the IPO lock-up expiration on Wednesday, Box (BOX, $17.55) shares today dropped 6.3%. 


Box, a provider of enterprise cloud storage and collaboration solutions, went public in January at $14 a share and opened for trading at $20.20. 


The post-IPO high of $24.73 was reached on the first day. Last week, Box shares fell to a new post-IPO low of $16.40.


For fiscal 2016 (Jan.), the consensus revenue estimate of $289.5 million represents growth of 33.8%.

 
Monday, July 20, 2015, 12:17 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
eBay Completes PayPal Spin-Off

Shares of PayPal (PYPL, $40.62) today are up more than 5% during the first session following the completed spin-off from eBay (EBAY, $28.86). 


Shareholders of eBay received one PayPal share for each eBay share.


Here is a sampling of initial Wall Street recommendations on PayPal:


*JP Morgan starts coverage at ‘Overweight’ with a price target of $48

*BMO Capital initiates at ‘Outperform’/$46 PT

*Nomura starts at ‘Buy’/$46 PT

*SunTrust initiates at ‘Buy’/$45 PT

*Wedbush starts at ‘Neutral’/$40 PT

*Evercore ISI starts at ‘Sell’ with a target of $36


For more on PayPal, see TechStock Radar--July 2, 2015.

 
Monday, July 20, 2015, 10:05 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Barclays Downgrades Zillow

Barclays downgrades Zillow (Z, $78.57) to ‘Underweight’ and reduces its price target to $70 from $90 because it believes Q2 consensus estimates are too high. The firm says competition is increasing in the real estate information market.


Zillow shares this morning are down more than 5% and earlier hit a new 52-week low at $76.82.

 
Friday, July 17, 2015, 3:11 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
SunTrust Upgrades Ruckus Wireless

SunTrust upgrades Ruckus Wireless (RKUS, $10.59), a provider of WiFi infrastructure solutions, to ‘Buy’ with a price target of $14 (up from $12) based on accelerated growth in the service provider segment and upside potential in the education vertical. The firm also points to more favorable competitive dynamics in the service provider market.


The 2015 consensus revenue estimate of $369.4 million represents growth of 13%. For 2016, analysts on average look for top-line growth to accelerate to 18.6%.

 
Friday, July 17, 2015, 11:03 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Stephens Upbeat on Imperva

Stephens says its partner checks indicate continued improvement in demand and sales execution at Imperva (IMPV, $71.10). 


The firm looks for Q2 results to beat consensus estimates, partly on strong demand for the Incapsula cloud-based security offering. 


Stephens maintains its price target of $75.

 
Friday, July 17, 2015, 10:03 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
RBC Capital Bullish on Splunk

RBC Capital starts Splunk (SPLK, $72.88) at ‘Outperform’ with a price target of $85 based on the company’s ability to take share in the new market of operational intelligence. 


Harnessing the full power of Big Data analytics, Splunk’s solutions provide actionable insights to help workers make better business decisions across an entire organization, says the firm.

 
Friday, July 17, 2015, 9:05 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Piper Jaffray Ups Google PT to $723

Piper Jaffray raises its Google (GOOGL, $680 pre market, +13%) price target to $723 from $631, saying the solid Q2 results make it more confident in the stock over the next two quarters. In addition to a new focus on costs, the firm points to positive mobile CPCs and accelerating YouTube usage.


In pre-market trading, Google shares are up 13%.

 
Thursday, July 16, 2015, 4:16 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Google Shares Pop 7% on Strong Q2 Results

Google (GOOGL, $644.93 after hours, +7.1%) reports Q2 EPS of $6.99, 28 cents above the consensus estimate of $6.71, on revenue of $17.73 billion, vs. the consensus of $17.75 billion. CFFO totaled $7 billion. 


The company called out strength in mobile search, YouTube and programmatic advertising.


Google shares are surging more than 7% in after-hours trading.


Google is a holding in the Tech-Stock Prospector Vulture Portfolio, added in May 2010 when the stock traded at $249.63.

 
Thursday, July 16, 2015, 3:08 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Topeka Ups Palo Alto Target to $215

Topeka Capital lifts its Palo Alto Networks (PANW, $190.57) target to $215 from $175 after raising its FY’16 and FY’17 estimates to reflect a more gradual deceleration in revenue growth than previously estimated, driven in part by three new subscription services—Traps, AutoFocus and CirroSecure—that can address the relatively captive installed base of 24,000+ customers (growing 1,500/quarter).


Palo Alto Networks is a holding in the Tech-Stock Prospector Small-Cap Portfolio, added in June 2013 when the stock was trading at $39.42. Today, the shares hit an all-time high at $191.75.


For our latest update on Palo Alto Networks, read the new issue of Tech-Stock Prospector on your Kindle or Kindle for iPad/iPhone reading app. Download the July 2015 issue here.

 
Thursday, July 16, 2015, 12:08 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
A New All-Time High For Tableau

Tableau Software (DATA, $125.86) shares today hit an all-time high at $125.96.


Tableau, a provider of visualization-focused analytics solutions, is a holding in the Tech-Stock Prospector Small-Cap Portfolio, added in April 2014 when the stock was trading at $63.38.


Read our latest update on Tableau in the new issue of Tech-Stock Prospector. The July 2015 issue of TSP is available here for download to your Kindle or Kindle for iPad/iPhone reading app.

 
Thursday, July 16, 2015, 11:03 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Needham Upgrades Intel

Needham upgrades Intel (INTC, $29.90) to ‘Buy’ with a price target of $37 based on the solid Q2 performances delivered by the company’s datacenter, IoT and NAND businesses. The firm expects improved gross margin over the coming years through better yields at 14nm and reduced capital spending intensity.

 
Thursday, July 16, 2015, 9:01 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
BMO Capital Upgrades Google

BMO Capital upgrades Google (GOOGL, $583.96) to ‘Outperform’ with a price target of $670, saying it has increased confidence in upward estimate revisions in coming quarters, anchored by stiffening margins. 


The firm believes a steady revenue outlook, underpinned by consistent search growth and YouTube’s continued push for TV ad dollars, combined with margin stabilization in 2H’15 and 2016 will drive multiple expansion.

 
Wednesday, July 15, 2015, 4:15 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Intel Q2 Results Top Expectations

Intel (INTC, $31.65 after hours, +6.5%) reports Q2 EPS of 55 cents, five cents above the consensus estimate, on revenue of $13.2 billion, vs. the consensus of $13.04 billion. Gross margin came in at 62.5%.


Revenue by division:


*Client Computing $7.5 billion -14% y/y

*Datacenter $3.9 billion +10%

*IoT $559 million +4%

*Software/services $534 million -3%


For Q3, the company sees revenue of $13.8 billion to $14.8 billion, vs. the consensus of $14.1 billion. Gross margin guidance: 63% +/- couple of points


For 2015, Intel expects revenue to decline ~1%. The consensus revenue estimate of $54.77 billion represents a decline of 2%.

 
Wednesday, July 15, 2015, 12:34 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Deutsche Bank Upbeat on Facebook


Deutsche Banks maintains its Facebook (FB, $90.46) price target of $100, saying the set-up into Q2 results is slightly more favorable than in prior quarters, partly because it believes the consensus ad revenue estimate is conservative.


The firm argues that only a few of Facebook’s major revenue opportunities are priced into the shares right now. 


Deutsche Bank says there could be meaningful upward revisions over the next two to three years as the apps outside of core Facebook (including Instagram and WhatsApp) start to monetize.

 
Wednesday, July 15, 2015, 10:02 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Morgan Stanley Still Positive on Oracle

Morgan Stanley reiterates its Oracle (ORCL, $40.78) price target of $50 based on growth in the cloud business, the upcoming 12c database cycle and stability in the core maintenance revenue stream.


For our latest update on Oracle, read the new issue of Tech-Stock Prospector on your Kindle or Kindle for iPad/iPhone reading app. Download the July 2015 issue here.

 
Wednesday, July 15, 2015, 9:04 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Barclays Upgrades LinkedIn

Barclays upgrades LinkedIn (LNKD, $213.93) to ‘Overweight’ with a price target of $250 based on expected growth improvements for 2H’15 and 2016, driven by the core talent business and ad demand. The firm believes guidance for the new Lynda online learning unit is conservative.

 
Tuesday, July 14, 2015, 3:20 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
A Big Purchase for NetScout Systems

NetScout Systems (NTCT, $37.97), a provider of networking & applications performance management solutions, today completed the purchase of Danaher’s Communications unit—made up of Tektronix, Arbor Networks and parts of Fluke Networks—for $2.3 billion in stock.

 
Tuesday, July 14, 2015, 12:05 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
A New All-Time High at Palo Alto Networks

Shares of Palo Alto Networks (PANW, $185.21) today hit an all-time high at $185.70.


Palo Alto is a holding in the Tech-Stock Prospector Small-Cap Portfolio, added in June 2013 when the stock was trading at $39.42.


For our latest update on Palo Alto Networks, read the new issue of Tech-Stock Prospector on your Kindle or Kindle for iPad/iPhone reading app.


Download the July 2015 issue here.

 
Tuesday, July 14, 2015, 11:03 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Barclays Upgrades GoPro

Barclays upgrades GoPro (GPRO, $55.43) to ‘Overweight’ and raises its price target to $65 from $50, saying strong execution since the IPO (including the introduction of the Hero4 and compact Session) has solidified the company’s hardware lead. 


The firm believes new developments such as 360 video, drones, better editing/production tools and content initiatives should further expand the lead.


GoPro shares today are up more than 6% on active volume.

 
Tuesday, July 14, 2015, 10:04 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
IAC's Match Group Bulks Up

The Match Group unit of IAC/InterActiveCorp (IACI, $83.53) announces the purchase of online dating site PlentyOfFish for $575 million in cash. The deal is expected to close in Q4.


Match (made up of Match.com, Tinder and OKCupid) is set to go public later this year.

 
Tuesday, July 14, 2015, 9:06 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
FBR Capital Bullish on Salesforce

FBR Capital reiterates its Salesforce (CRM, $71.06) target of $82, saying recent conversations with several European partners and customers lead it to believe business momentum is even stronger in Europe than in the U.S. In particular, demand for Marketing Cloud is increasing in EMEA, says the firm.


FBR sees plenty of new EMEA business up for grabs and says partners are rapidly expanding their Salesforce practices:


EMEA represents just under 20% of Salesforce’s revenue, and the ~$1 billion annual revenue run-rate is only a fraction of Oracle’s and SAP’s application revenue in the region. We believe Salesforce has only scratched the surface of its revenue opportunity in EMEA, and our recent checks suggest the company is experiencing healthy demand, executing well and taking market share from its rivals.

 
Monday, July 13, 2015, 4:17 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
PayPal +6% Ahead of Spin-Off

Shares of PayPal (PYPLV, $36.81) today rose more than 6% on heavy volume ahead of the spin-off on Friday from eBay (EBAY). 


Earlier, Cantor Fitzgerald started coverage of PayPal at ‘Buy’ with a price target of $45, saying the company has a large addressable opportunity in both online & offline payments.

 
Monday, July 13, 2015, 3:07 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Société Generale Upgrades Apple

Following the recent pullback in the stock, Societe Generale upgrades Apple (AAPL, $125.61) to ‘Buy’ with a price target of $140 based on continued strong iPhone demand trends in China, expectations for a successful iPhone 6S launch in September and ramping Watch demand in FY’16 (estimating unit sales of 19 million, vs. ~8 million in FY’15).

 
Monday, July 13, 2015, 12:02 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Facebook Shares Hit All-Time High

Facebook (FB, $90.09) shares today hit a new all-time high at $90.22.


For our latest update on Facebook, a holding in the TSP Vulture Portfolio, read the new issue of Tech-Stock Prospector on your Kindle or Kindle for iPad/iPhone reading app. 


Download the July 2015 issue of TSP here.

 
Monday, July 13, 2015, 11:08 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Dougherty Sets FireEye Target at $65

Dougherty initiates coverage of FireEye (FEYE, $50.34) at ‘Buy’ with a price target of $65, saying the company is well-positioned to benefit from increased security spending.


The firm believes FireEye’s continued technological development and innovation are key competitive advantages that will enable sustainable growth of 35%+ for the next several years.

 
Monday, July 13, 2015, 10:02 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Pacific Crest Bullish on Qorvo

Pacific Crest likes mobile chipmaker Qorvo (QRVO, $76.86) ahead of fiscal Q1 earnings, saying the company is getting a boost from healthy iPhone demand trends and additional cost synergies associated with the merger (RF Micro/TriQuint).


The consensus estimates for the June quarter: EPS of $1.06 on revenue of $664.7 million.


At last week’s low of $73.71, Qorvo shares had declined 16.5% from the June 22 high of $88.35. 

 
Monday, July 13, 2015, 9:03 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
JP Morgan Sets Palo Alto Target at $216

JP Morgan starts Palo Alto Networks (PANW, $180.87) at ‘Overweight’ with a price target of $216, saying revenue could expand 35% annually through 2019 on continued market share gains in network security.

 
Friday, July 10, 2015, 3:03 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Cantor Bullish on Oracle's Cloud Moves

Cantor Fitzgerald remains optimistic about the cloud initiatives being undertaken at Oracle (ORCL, $40.44), maintaining its ‘Buy’ rating and price target of $48.


The firm points out that Oracle views the transition of IT resources into the cloud as a “generational change” that only comes along once every 20 to 25 years. 


For more on the cloud story at Oracle, read the latest issue of Tech-Stock Prospector on your Kindle or Kindle for iPad/iPhone reading app. Download the July 2015 issue here.

 
Friday, July 10, 2015, 12:33 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
PayPal Ready for the Spin-Off

Shares of PayPal (PYPLV, $34.60) this week began trading on a when issued basis ahead of the spin-off from eBay (EBAY, $62.02). 


On July 17, eBay holders will receive their 1-for-1 PayPal distribution. On July 20, PayPal shares begin trading under the symbol PYPL.

 
Friday, July 10, 2015, 11:06 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Evercore ISI Ups Expedia Target

Evercore ISI ups its Expedia (EXPE, $106.83) price target to $115 from $99 based on:


1-Q2 checks that indicate core trends were strong in the quarter

2-A successful close expected for the Orbitz deal


For more on Expedia, see TechStock Radar--June 22, 2015.

 
Friday, July 10, 2015, 10:04 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Zillow Shares Hit by CFO Departure

Shares of Zillow (Z, $80.97) today are down 5% on news the CFO is leaving to pursue other interests. Earlier, the stock hit a new 52-week low at $77.62.


As Barclays points out, the timing of the departure of Chad Cohen (effective August 7) is “less than ideal” because Zillow continues to work its way through the Trulia integration, a process the firm believes has so far led to disruption in both agent and traffic growth.


Barclays expects integration pains to weigh on Zillow’s operating performance through the second half of the year.

 
Friday, July 10, 2015, 9:03 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Mizuho Bullish on LinkedIn

Mizuho Securities starts LinkedIn (LNKD, $207.59) at ‘Outperform’ with a price target of $240, saying the company has transformed itself into a media property focused on providing professionals with insights and tools to help them excel in their careers, vs. just a “people search” service in the past.


The firm expects LinkedIn to continue to successfully leverage a large and growing user base to drive multiple forms of monetization—including selling SaaS subscriptions (to large enterprises and SMBs), targeted advertising and premium subscriptions to members and salespeople. 

 
Thursday, July 9, 2015, 3:46 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Mobileye +5% on Baird Upgrade

Since we covered Mobileye (MBLY, $57.12) in the April 2015 issue of Tech-Stock Prospector (TSP #158), the stock has risen nearly 40%. Today, the shares are up 5.5% on heavy volume.


Robert W. Baird today raises its rating on Mobileye—the leading provider of camera-based advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS)—to ‘Outperform’ with a price target of $73 based on the company’s longer-term growth story.


The firm says it is now much more comfortable with the pace of active safety adoption across the auto industry and Mobileye’s technology positioning to recommend the stock despite the lofty valuation.


Read the latest issue of Tech-Stock Prospector on your Kindle or Kindle for iPad/iPhone reading app. Download the July 2015 issue here.

 
Thursday, July 9, 2015, 2:49 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Momentum Semi Stocks Take a Hit

Several momentum names in the semiconductor segment have been hit over the past few weeks by heavy selling pressure:


(ranked by % pullback from June high)


1-Ambarella (AMBA)  -25%

2-NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) -21.2%

3-Cavium (CAVM) -18.1%


4-Avago Technologies (AVGO) -17.8%

5-Skyworks Solutions (SWKS) -17.4%

6-Qorvo (QRVO) -15.8%



The two lowest RSIs in the group: 


*NXP Semiconductors 21.6

*Cavium 23.8

 
Thursday, July 9, 2015, 11:04 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
OpCo Remains Bullish on GrubHub

OpCo remains upbeat on GrubHub (GRUB, $31.92), saying concerns about increased competition and higher spending related to the build-out of the delivery network have been overblown. The firm maintains its price target of $50.

 
Thursday, July 9, 2015, 10:09 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
EA Hits New 52-Wk High; Piper Ups Target


Piper Jaffray raises its Electronic Arts (EA, $70.38) price target to $72 from $69 based on positive expectations for the new Star Wars: Battlefront game. 


Results of a recent survey of Xbox One and PS4 owners indicate the upcoming title is now second on the list of most desirable purchases behind only Call of Duty, says the firm.


EA shares this morning hit a new 52-week high at $70.94. The stock is approaching the all-time high of $71.16 reached in March 2005.

 
Thursday, July 9, 2015, 9:02 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
UBS Ups iPhone Estimate


UBS raises its Apple (AAPL, $122.57) iPhone unit sales estimate for the June quarter to 51 million from 50 million.


Apple is benefiting from the broad trend of consumers in China upgrading to more expensive phones. The firm says its research indicates Apple is penetrating China across multiple income bands.

 
Wednesday, July 8, 2015, 11:16 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Chart Watch: NXP Semi Shares Pull Back

Shares of NXP Semiconductors (NXPI, $91.96) have dropped 19% from the all-time high of $114 reached on June 1, taking out support at $93.05 from March.


The RSI is in oversold territory at 24.6. The stock is approaching the 200-day moving average at $86.73.

 
Wednesday, July 8, 2015, 10:25 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Sterne Agee CRT Upbeat on GrubHub

Sterne Agee CRT says the recent pullback in shares of GrubHub (GRUB, $31.52) provides an attractive entry point and maintains its price target of $56.


The firm calls GrubHub the dominant platform focused on takeout at independent U.S. restaurants, a $70-billion market that remains 95% offline and ripe for disruption from online/mobile technologies. Sterne Agee expects GrubHub over the next five years to more than double its U.S. market share to 7%+.

 
Wednesday, July 8, 2015, 9:02 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Needham Remains Positive on Google

Needham reiterates its Google (GOOGL, $550.03) price target of $675, saying it believes mobile is on a trajectory to monetize at a higher rate than desktop, particularly when including mobile search, display advertising and Google Play. The firm expects the Apple search contract to be renewed, as Google seeks to preserve its mobile search traffic.

 
Tuesday, July 7, 2015, 3:14 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Baird Sets Fitbit Price Target at $52

Robert W. Baird starts Fitbit (FIT, $41.70) at ‘Outperform’ with a price target of $52, saying its proprietary fitness band survey and retail checks suggest strong ongoing sales momentum for the company’s products. The firm admits the valuation is stretched, but believes estimates could prove to be conservative.

 
Tuesday, July 7, 2015, 12:14 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Chart Watch: CyberArk Shares Retreat

Shares of security solutions vendor CyberArk Software (CYBR, $55.31) today are down more than 4% on active volume. Earlier, the intraday low was $53.19.


On June 18, CyberArk hit a new all-time high of $76.35. Since then, the stock has been weak, gaining downside momentum after slipping below its 50-day moving average of $64.80 at the end of June. 


The RSI is falling from 30.8. There is support at $47.50 from May.

 
Tuesday, July 7, 2015, 10:04 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Brean Capital Ups Salesforce to 'Buy'

Brean Capital upgrades Salesforce (CRM, $68.98) to ‘Buy’ with a price target of $85 because it believes deeper cross-cloud integration and product improvements will aid up-sell, billings and subsequent revenue growth. 


The firm says Salesforce’s Marketing Cloud and Service Cloud are now better aligned with core Sales Cloud customer needs, which will help grow new ACV in fiscal 2017 and beyond.


In Marketing Cloud, Brean says its findings show pent-up demand from marketers seeking better ad management tools.

 
Tuesday, July 7, 2015, 9:01 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
UBS Upgrades Electronic Arts to 'Buy'

UBS upgrades Electronic Arts (EA, $68.01) to ‘Buy’ and raises its price target to $80 from $65 based on a strong schedule of game releases for fiscal 2016 (March), including Star Wars: Battlefront. The firm also calls out EA’s increasing traction in mobile. 


The FY’16 consensus EPS estimate of $2.85 indicates growth of 13.5%. The Street-high estimate is $3.08.


For more on EA, see TechStock Radar—June 26, 2015.

 
Monday, July 6, 2015, 11:07 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Cowen Downgrades Fortinet

Cowen downgrades Fortinet (FTNT, $40.33) to ‘Underperform’ with a price target of $37 because it sees three factors—tougher comps, an increasingly competitive security environment and challenges in truly penetrating the enterprise—making it more difficult for the company to exceed investor expectations over the next 12 to 18 months.


The firm does admit that the security market remains strong and says Fortinet’s recent execution has unquestionably been very good.

 
Monday, July 6, 2015, 10:10 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Deutsche Bank Still Neutral on Apple

Deutsche Bank remains concerned that the Apple (AAPL, $125.65) iPhone market share has peaked, and with the overall smartphone market slowing, expects reduced growth rates for the company going forward. 


Given the very strong expansion during the current cycle, the firm predicts iPhone’s growth will underperform overall market growth as the iPhone 6 launch hits its anniversary in calendar Q4 2015. 


Deutsche Bank maintains its ‘Hold’ rating and price target of $125.

 
Monday, July 6, 2015, 9:03 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Cowen Remains Bullish on Yelp

Cowen says the Yelp (YELP, $38.20) valuation is attractive on both current growth and the longer-term outlook.


The firm reiterates its price target of $55, saying the focus can return to Yelp’s fundamentals now that the company has temporarily decided not to pursue a sale.


“The news may be a positive sign for Q2, as Yelp would face more pressure to sell if business were deteriorating,” says Cowen.

 
Thursday, July 2, 2015, 2:42 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
No Deal! Yelp Shares Sink 11%

Yelp (YELP, $37.57) shares this afternoon are down 11% (and earlier hit a new 52-week low at $36.10) after a Bloomberg article said the company has decided (for now) to not pursue a sale.


The article states Yelp turned away “several interested suitors.” However, maybe it was more like Yelp couldn’t find a buyer at the price it wanted. 


Well, the price just got a lot cheaper after today’s sharp haircut. The stock is now well below its 52-week high of $86.88 and the market cap is down to $2.8 billion. 

 
Thursday, July 2, 2015, 11:50 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Canaccord Remains Upbeat on Oracle

Canaccord Genuity believes the recent weakness in Oracle (ORCL, $40.23) shares is a buying opportunity, saying its long-term investment thesis remains intact. 


The firm expects valuation expansion as investors gradually gain confidence in Oracle’s transition to the cloud. Canaccord reiterates its price target of $50.

 
Thursday, July 2, 2015, 10:01 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
RBC Capital Upgrades GrubHub

RBC Capital upgrades GrubHub (GRUB, $31.60) to ‘Outperform’ following the recent sharp pullback in the stock, which traded just above $41 as recently as June 1. The all-time high of $47.95 was set in March. 


There has been concern about increased competition in newer markets. Yesterday, GrubHub shares fell 7.1% after research firm ITG said the company could experience a Q2 revenue shortfall.


RBC remains positive on GrubHub’s fundamentals, saying the company has an attractive business model and is the leader in the large addressable market of food takeout/delivery. The firm reduces its price target to $42 from $46 though.

 
Thursday, July 2, 2015, 9:02 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
PayPal to Acquire Xoom for $890 Million

The PayPal unit of eBay (EBAY, $60.42) will acquire Xoom (XOOM, $20.70), a provider of digital money transfers, for $25 a share in cash in a deal worth $890 million.


Xoom enables customers in the U.S. to send money to and pay bills for friends and family worldwide via mobile and the Web. Xoom has a presence in 37 countries, with particular emphasis on Mexico, India, the Philippines, China and Brazil.


Xoom has 1.3 million active users. PayPal has 68 million customers in the U.S.


PayPal will split from eBay on July 17 and begin trading on July 20 under the symbol PYPL. 


The Xoom purchase is expected to close in Q4.

 
Wednesday, July 1, 2015, 11:21 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Chart Watch: Electronic Arts

Shares of videogame software maker Electronic Arts (EA, $67.93) held up relatively well during this week’s market pullback and still sport an RSI of 68.2. 


So far this year, EA stock has advanced 44%.


The all-time high for EA of $71.16 was hit in March 2005.

 
Wednesday, July 1, 2015, 10:15 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
SanDisk Hits New 52-Week Low

Shares of flash storage vendor SanDisk (SNDK, $57.97) this morning hit a new 52-week low at $57.49. So far this year, the stock has declined nearly 41%.


In the April 2015 issue of Tech-Stock Prospector (TSP #158), we told subscribers SanDisk shares (trading around $67.30 at the time) had near-term downside risk to the $50 to $55 range.


For more on SanDisk, see TechStock Radar—April 16, 2015.

 
Wednesday, July 1, 2015, 9:09 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
Facebook Remains on Top

Cowen’s latest social media user survey shows Facebook (FB, $85.76) maintaining a clear lead in scale and time spent, while Snapchat and Instagram experienced the fastest engagement growth.

 
Wednesday, July 1, 2015, 9:06 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar
JMP Cautious on Check Point

Starting coverage of Check Point Software (CHKP, $79.55) at ‘Market Perform,’ JMP Securities is concerned that increasing competition in the firewall market may limit new customer growth for the security vendor.


Check Point has a 22% share of the enterprise firewall market, according to the firm. But that market-leading position is at risk as emerging firewall vendors continue to gain a stronger foothold.

   
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