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| May 2013 |
| Archives |
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| Friday, May 31, 2013, 3:46 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Weekend Reading: Tech-Stock Prospector on Kindle |
Read the May 2013 issue of Tech-Stock Prospector on your
Kindle or Kindle for iPad/iPhone app.
Order the new issue of TSP for Kindle here.
Here are some of the topics covered in the May 2013 issue:
*Cloud software shines in Q1 earnings season
*NetSuite shows why it’s a cloud leader
*ServiceNow expanding its addressable
market
*Proofpoint raises guidance on key
security wins
*SPS Commerce builds its customer base
*Sourcefire raging in networking
security
*Adobe Systems gets traction in the
cloud
*A valuation
reset for Citrix Systems
*Yahoo focuses on content & mobile
*Fusion-IO diversifies its customer
portfolio
*LinkedIn disrupts enterprise recruiting
*New growth
drivers at Microsoft
*Apple readies its next product cycle
*Akamai sees growth in cloud infrastructure
*Riverbed Technology tries to find
footing
*A new
capital allocation strategy at Harmonic
*Deal
Report: Marketo IPO overview
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| Friday, May 31, 2013, 3:35 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Splunk Delivers |
Shares of Splunk (SPLK, $46.90) are up more than 3% on
active volume after the Big Data specialist last night reported that fiscal Q1 (April)
revenue grew 54% to $57.2 million, topping the consensus estimate of $53.9
million.
For fiscal Q2 (July), the company sees revenue of $61
million to $63 million, vs. the consensus of $61.6 million. For fiscal 2014
(Jan.), Splunk raised its revenue guidance range to $266 million-$274 million
from the previous range of $260 million-$270 million.
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| Friday, May 31, 2013, 11:08 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Palo Alto Networks Off 9% |
Shares of networking security vendor Palo Alto Networks
(PANW, $49.28) this morning are down more than 9% on heavy volume following a
top-line miss in fiscal Q3 and weaker-than-expected revenue guidance for fiscal
Q4. The company blamed softness in Europe and the federal vertical for the
shortfall.
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| Friday, May 31, 2013, 9:08 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Davidson Positive on RF Micro |
D.A. Davidson yesterday upgraded mobile chipmaker RF Micro
Devices (RFMD, $5.47) to ‘Buy’ with a price target of $7 based on increased
smartphone exposure (at Samsung and Apple) as well as potential margin
expansion.
For more on RF Micro, see
TechStock Radar—April 1, 2013.
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| Thursday, May 30, 2013, 1:24 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| New All-Time High for SPS Commerce |
Shares of SPS Commerce (SPSC, $54.93), a provider of cloud-based
supply chain management solutions, today hit a new all-time high at $55.14.
We first wrote about the company in the January 2013 issue
of Tech-Stock Prospector (TSP #131) when the shares were trading around $38.60.
For the latest update on SPS Commerce’s growth outlook, see
the May 2013 issue (TSP #135). Order the latest issue of TSP here for your
Amazon Kindle or Kindle for iPad/iPhone reading app.
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| Thursday, May 30, 2013, 11:10 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Technicals Update: EMC |
Following today’s bullish capital allocation news, EMC (EMC,
$24.94) shares are rallying 5.4% and have taken out the 200-day moving average
at $24.76. For more on EMC, Tech-Stock Prospector subscribers should see today’s
Rob’s Journal.
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| Thursday, May 30, 2013, 9:09 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Jefferies Upgrades Facebook |
Jefferies upgrades Facebook (FB, $23.32) to ‘Buy’ with a
price target of $32 on an improved risk/reward profile following the recent
pullback in the shares. The firm is particularly positive on Facebook’s
upcoming launch (expected in July) of video ads.
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| Wednesday, May 29, 2013, 1:48 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Jive Software Rebounds |
Shares of Jive Software (JIVE, $16.93) have rallied back to
the top of their recent trading range, rebounding 30% from the April 30 low of
$13.03. There is resistance at the March high of $17.28. The RSI is strong at
72.3. A Bloomberg article today
says Jive, a provider of enterprise social collaboration software, could be a takeover
target for larger players such as IBM or Oracle.
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| Wednesday, May 29, 2013, 10:20 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Technicals Update: Facebook |
Facebook (FB, $23.50) shares are breaking down after taking
out the 200-day moving average. The RSI has dropped to 26.7.
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| Wednesday, May 29, 2013, 9:01 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Pacific Crest Upgrades Palo Alto Networks |
Ahead of the release of fiscal Q3 (April) earnings tomorrow,
Palo Alto Networks (PANW, $53.78) gets an upgrade to ‘Outperform’ with a price
target of $65 over at Pacific Crest. The consensus revenue estimate for the
April quarter of $103.4 million indicates growth of 57.5%. The stock remains
well below its post-IPO high of $72.61.
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| Tuesday, May 28, 2013, 4:20 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Guidewire Software Tops Estimates |
Guidewire Software (GWRE, $42.87 after hours, +5.1%), one of
our 8 TSP Tech Disruptors for 2013, reports fiscal Q3 (April) EPS of four
cents, one cent above the consensus estimate, on revenue of $68.3 million (+20%
y/y), vs. the consensus of $63.5 million. Rolling four quarter recurring term
license and maintenance revenue rose 34%.
For more on Guidewire, see the March 2013 issue of
Tech-Stock Prospector (TSP #133).
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| Tuesday, May 28, 2013, 11:14 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Technicals Update: Google |
Shares of Google (GOOG, $890.05) have pulled back from the
recent high of $920.60, but remain well above the 50-day moving average of $829.57.
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| Tuesday, May 28, 2013, 9:02 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Yahoo in the Bidding for Hulu |
According to AllThingsD, Yahoo (YHOO, $26.33) has made an
offer of $600 million to $800 million for premium video site Hulu, which is
owned by Disney, News Corp. and Comcast. There are several bidders in the first
round and a source says offers under $1 billion are unlikely to be accepted.
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| Friday, May 24, 2013, 1:07 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Weekend Reading: Tech-Stock Prospector on Kindle |
Read the May 2013 issue of Tech-Stock Prospector on your
Kindle or Kindle for iPad/iPhone app.
Order the new issue of TSP for Kindle here.
Here are some of the topics covered in the May 2013 issue:
*Cloud software shines in Q1 earnings season
*NetSuite shows why it’s a cloud leader
*ServiceNow expanding its addressable
market
*Proofpoint raises guidance on key
security wins
*SPS Commerce builds its customer base
*Sourcefire raging in networking
security
*Adobe Systems gets traction in the
cloud
*A valuation
reset for Citrix Systems
*Yahoo focuses on content & mobile
*Fusion-IO diversifies its customer
portfolio
*LinkedIn disrupts enterprise recruiting
*New growth
drivers at Microsoft
*Apple readies its next product cycle
*Akamai sees growth in cloud
infrastructure
*Riverbed Technology tries to find
footing
*A new
capital allocation strategy at Harmonic
*Deal
Report: Marketo IPO overview
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| Friday, May 24, 2013, 11:22 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Technicals Update: Facebook |
Facebook (FB, $24.53) shares have taken out the 200-day
moving average at $24.99 and the March low of $24.72. The RSI is down to 32.3.
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| Friday, May 24, 2013, 10:20 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| SAP Reorganizes Cloud Leadership |
SAP (SAP, $76.08) announces that SuccessFactors founder Lars
Dalgaard will be leaving the company. Dalgaard had been leading SAP’s cloud
efforts since the software giant purchased his HCM cloud-software company for
$3.4 billion in a deal announced at the end of 2011. Former Ariba CEO Bob
Calderoni will now run SAP’s cloud business.
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| Friday, May 24, 2013, 9:02 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Wedbush Downgrades Salesforce |
Wedbush downgrades Salesforce.com (CRM, $42.94 pre market)
to ‘Neutral’ and reduces its price target to $42 from $51 based on a
significant decline in fiscal Q1 deferred commission expenditures, which the
firm says is an indication that new sales activity was down substantially in
the quarter.
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| Thursday, May 23, 2013, 5:04 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Salesforce Dips on In-Line Guidance |
Salesforce.com (CRM, $42.94 after hours, -6%) reports fiscal
Q1 (April) EPS of 10 cents, in line with the consensus estimate, on revenue of
$893 million (+28% y/y), vs. the consensus of $887.1 million.
Deferred revenue advanced 30% to $1.73 billion. Unbilled
deferred revenue was up 33% to $3.6 billion.
For fiscal Q2, the company sees EPS of 11 cents to 12 cents
(the consensus is 12 cents) on revenue of $931 million to $936 million (the
consensus is $934.5 million).
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| Thursday, May 23, 2013, 11:37 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Read Tech-Stock Prospector on Kindle |
Read the May 2013 issue of Tech-Stock Prospector on your
Kindle or Kindle for iPad/iPhone app.
Order the new issue of TSP for Kindle here.
Here are some of the topics covered in the May 2013 issue:
*Cloud software shines in Q1 earnings season
*NetSuite shows why it’s a cloud leader
*ServiceNow expanding its addressable
market
*Proofpoint raises guidance on key
security wins
*SPS Commerce builds its customer base
*Sourcefire raging in networking
security
*Adobe Systems gets traction in the
cloud
*A valuation
reset for Citrix Systems
*Yahoo focuses on content & mobile
*Fusion-IO diversifies its customer
portfolio
*LinkedIn disrupts enterprise recruiting
*New growth
drivers at Microsoft
*Apple readies its next product cycle
*Akamai sees growth in cloud
infrastructure
*Riverbed Technology tries to find
footing
*A new
capital allocation strategy at Harmonic
*Deal Report:
Marketo IPO overview
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| Thursday, May 23, 2013, 10:07 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Goldman Bullish on Demandware |
Goldman Sachs adds Demandware (DWRE, $30.33), a provider of
cloud-based e-commerce solutions for retailers, to its ‘Conviction Buy’ list
with a price target of $40 based on relative valuation, recent strength in
bookings, improvements made in sales force productivity and customer GMV
growth.
Demandware went public in March 2012 at $16 a share and
opened for trading at $25.25. The shares ended 2012 at $27.32.
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| Thursday, May 23, 2013, 9:02 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Pacific Crest Upbeat on Citrix |
Pacific Crest thinks Citrix Systems (CTXS, $64.41) estimates
are conservative, saying changes being made at the company could reaccelerate
growth. The firm believes additional product integration and the launch of
XenDesktop 7 significantly expand cross-selling opportunities at Citrix.
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| Wednesday, May 22, 2013, 2:54 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Momentum Names Retreat |
Big drops today for some recent momentum names:
*Yelp (YELP, $29.25) -7.3%
*CommVault Systems (CVLT, $67.97) -7.1%
*Zillow (Z, $56.09) -5.5%
*Workday (WDAY, $65.10) -4.9%
*NetSuite (N, $89.41, -4.6%)
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| Wednesday, May 22, 2013, 12:45 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Technicals Update: Facebook |
Shares of Facebook (FB, $25.47) have fallen back to the low
end of the recent trading range, coming down from the May 3 high of $29.07. The
stock is below its 50-day moving average of $26.57, but for now is holding the
200-day moving average of $24.96. There is support at the March low of $24.72.
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| Wednesday, May 22, 2013, 9:13 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Northland Raises Ultimate Price Target |
Northland Securities raises its price target on Ultimate
Software (ULTI, $114.30) to $140 from $110 based on the HCM cloud-software
provider’s growth outlook. The consensus revenue estimate for 2013 indicates
expected growth of 23%.
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| Tuesday, May 21, 2013, 2:43 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| New Intel CEO Gets to Work |
According to Reuters, new Intel (INTC, $24.11) CEO Brian
Krzanich has created a unit to work on new devices and reorganized other key
business groups. Intel has confirmed that an internal email was sent out
describing the reorganization, says Reuters.
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| Tuesday, May 21, 2013, 10:38 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| BGC Partners Bullish on LinkedIn |
BGC Partners starts coverage of LinkedIn (LNKD, $185.35) at
‘Buy’ with a price target of $225, saying the company is starting to disrupt significant
markets, including enterprise recruiting.
For more on LinkedIn, see the May 2013 issue of Tech-Stock
Prospector (TSP #135).
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| Tuesday, May 21, 2013, 9:01 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| UBS Ups Microsoft Price Target |
UBS raises its Microsoft (MSFT, $35.08) price target to $40
from $33 based on improved earnings visibility, cloud momentum, enterprise
strength, potential stability in the PC segment and expectations for a
seasonally strong second half of the year.
For more on Microsoft’s new growth drivers, see the May 2013
issue of Tech-Stock Prospector. Order the new issue here for your Amazon Kindle
or Kindle for iPad/iPhone reading app.
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| Monday, May 20, 2013, 3:27 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| TripAdvisor Hits New High |
Shares of TripAdvisor (TRIP, $62.66), the online travel research
platform, today hit a new all-time high at $63.01. For more on the company, see
the April 2013 issue of Tech-Stock Prospector (TSP #134).
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| Monday, May 20, 2013, 10:47 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Tableau Surges to New Post-IPO High |
Tableau Software (DATA, $55.30) shares just after the open
surged to a new post-IPO high of $59.60.
The stock closed Friday, the first day of trading, at
$50.75, up 63% from the IPO price of $31.
For more on Tableau, see TechStock Radar—May 17, 2013.
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| Monday, May 20, 2013, 9:45 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Action Alert--Vulture Portfolio Addition |
A new name has been added to the Vulture Portfolio.
Subscribers should see inside for details.
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| Monday, May 20, 2013, 8:30 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Yahoo Buys Tumblr |
Yahoo (YHOO, $26.52) will pay $1.1 billion (substantially
all in cash) to acquire blogging platform Tumblr, which has more than 300
million monthly unique visitors and 120,000 signups every day.
The deal, which supplies Yahoo with social media exposure to
the important youthful demo, is expected to close in the second half of the
year.
From the news release:
Per the agreement and our promise not to screw it up, Tumblr
will be independently operated as a separate business. David Karp will remain
CEO.
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| Friday, May 17, 2013, 4:23 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Weekend Reading: Tech-Stock Prospector on Kindle |
Read the May 2013 issue of Tech-Stock Prospector on your
Kindle or Kindle for iPad/iPhone app.
Order the new issue of TSP for Kindle here.
Here are some of the topics covered in the May 2013 issue:
*Cloud software shines in Q1 earnings season
*NetSuite shows why it’s a cloud leader
*ServiceNow expanding its addressable market
*Proofpoint raises guidance on key
security wins
*SPS Commerce builds its customer base
*Sourcefire raging in networking
security
*Adobe Systems gets traction in the
cloud
*A valuation
reset for Citrix Systems
*Yahoo focuses on content & mobile
*Fusion-IO diversifies its customer
portfolio
*LinkedIn disrupts enterprise recruiting
*New growth
drivers at Microsoft
*Apple readies its next product cycle
*Akamai sees growth in cloud
infrastructure
*Riverbed Technology tries to find
footing
*A new
capital allocation strategy at Harmonic
*Deal
Report: Marketo IPO overview
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| Friday, May 17, 2013, 1:50 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Marketo Jumps 58% from IPO Price |
Marketo (MKTO,
$20.65), a provider of cloud-based marketing software used by enterprises and
small businesses, last night priced its IPO at $13 and the stock opened for
trading today at $20.
The company’s revenue in 2012 rose 80% to $58.4 million.
There are 35.78 million shares outstanding after the offering, giving the company
a current market cap of $738 million, or 12.6x 2012 revenue.
For more on Marketo, see the May 2013 issue of Tech-Stock
Prospector. Read the new issue on your Kindle or Kindle for iPad/iPhone app—order
the May 2013 issue here.
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| Friday, May 17, 2013, 11:04 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Goldman Upgrades Ruckus Wireless |
Goldman Sachs upgrades Ruckus Wireless (RKUS, $13.92) to
‘Buy’ with a price target of $19 based on valuation and growth prospects in the
carrier Wi-Fi segment of the market.
Ruckus shares have proven to be extremely volatile. The stock this week traded to a post-IPO low of $11.82, down
sharply from the high of $26.50 set on February 11. The company went public in
November at $15 a share.
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| Friday, May 17, 2013, 10:48 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Tableau Software Opens +51% from IPO Price |
Tableau Software (DATA, $47.85) priced its IPO at $31 and
opened for trading at $47.
For more on Tableau, see TechStock Radar—May 16 and May 6,
2013.
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| Friday, May 17, 2013, 9:21 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Needham Bullish on Infoblox |
Needham starts coverage of Infoblox (BLOX, $21.82) at ‘Buy’
with a price target of $26, saying near-term infrastructure and sales force
build-outs are masking the true earnings power of the company, a provider of
automated network control appliances that enable dynamic networks and
next-generation datacenters. The firm thinks Infoblox is capable of producing
operating margin of 20%+ over the longer term.
Infoblox went public in April 2012 at $16 a share and opened
for trading at $22.50.
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| Thursday, May 16, 2013, 3:09 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Capital Research Reduces Facebook Holdings |
In Q1, Capital Research Global Investors unloaded 20.37 million
shares of Facebook (FB, $26.34), reducing its position to 4.5 million shares.
Another big seller was Lone Pine Capital, which totally closed out a position
of 10.92 million shares.
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| Thursday, May 16, 2013, 11:52 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Bloomberg: Elliott into NetApp |
According to Bloomberg, noted activist investor Elliott
Management has taken a stake in storage solutions vendor NetApp (NTAP, $38.84) of less than 5%. The firm
is calling for NetApp to shake up its board and look for ways to improve
shareholder value. NetApp shares are rallying 7% on the report.
For more on NetApp, see TechStock Radar--May 13, 2013.
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| Thursday, May 16, 2013, 11:23 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Topeka Capital Ups Google Target |
Topeka Capital raises its Google (GOOG, $910.49) price
target to $999 from $950 following the start of the I/O developers conference.
Among other things, Google yesterday announced its new streaming music service
and upgraded the interface for Google+ to look more like Google Now.
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| Thursday, May 16, 2013, 9:47 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Big Q1 Buy: Wellington Adds to EMC Position |
In Q1, Wellington Management increased its position in EMC
(EMC, $23.72) by 57% with the purchase of 22.2 million shares. The money
manager now owns 61.19 million shares and is among the top 5 holders.
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| Thursday, May 16, 2013, 9:10 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Tableau Software Raises IPO Range |
Tableau Software (DATA) raises its IPO price range to
$28-$30 from $23-$26. The deal is expected to be priced this evening.
For more on Tableau, see
TechStock Radar—May 6, 2013.
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| Wednesday, May 15, 2013, 3:55 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Turner Boosts Splunk Position |
In Q1, Turner Investment Partners increased its position in
Splunk (SPLK, $44.24) by 25% with the purchase of 312K shares. The firm, which
has 26% of its assets in the tech sector, now owns 1.57 million shares of
Splunk.
Splunk shares today hit a new post-IPO high at $45.44.
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| Wednesday, May 15, 2013, 11:05 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Google Tops $900 |
Google (GOOG, $907.07) shares have topped the $900 mark for
the first time, trading to a high of $911.76.
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| Wednesday, May 15, 2013, 10:58 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Stifel Upbeat on Microsoft |
Stifel raises its Microsoft (MSFT, $33.67) price target to
$38 from $36, saying there is an increasing awareness and appreciation for the
company’s enterprise (cloud) unit.
For a look at Microsoft’s new growth drivers, see the May
2013 issue of Tech-Stock Prospector.
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| Wednesday, May 15, 2013, 9:02 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Northland Ups NetSuite Price Target |
Northland Capital raises its NetSuite (N, $94.62) price
target to $110, citing the cloud-software provider’s strong competitive
position and improving win rates.
For more on NetSuite, see the May 2013 issue of Tech-Stock
Prospector. Order the new issue here for your Kindle or Kindle for iPad/iPhone
reading app.
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| Tuesday, May 14, 2013, 4:43 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Google Hits All-Time High Ahead of I/O |
Google (GOOG, $887.10) shares today hit a new all-time high
at $888.69 ahead of the start of the I/O 2013 developer conference tomorrow.
While the company will most likely debut an updated Nexus tablet (and maybe
preview the Motorola X smartphone), the focus is expected to be mainly on
software, including the next version of the Android operating system, Babel chat and a
Google Maps upgrade.
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| Tuesday, May 14, 2013, 12:44 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Maxim Group Ups ServiceNow Price Target |
Maxim Group raises its price target on ServiceNow (NOW, $40),
a provider of cloud-based IT management solutions, to $46 from $42, saying it
thinks the company offers compelling growth potential based on expected market
share gains within an expanding segment. The target boost reflects accelerated
operating margin expansion over the longer term.
For more on the ServiceNow growth story, see the May 2013
issue of Tech-Stock Prospector. Order the latest issue here for your Kindle or
Kindle for iPad/iPhone reading app.
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| Tuesday, May 14, 2013, 9:44 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Adobe Systems Embraces the Cloud |
For the latest on why Adobe Systems (ADBE, $43.83), best
known for its shrink-wrapped design software, is moving full-force into the
cloud, check out the May 2013 issue of Tech-Stock Prospector.
Order the new TSP for Kindle issue here.
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| Monday, May 13, 2013, 3:48 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| NetApp Chatter Once Again |
There is chatter that an activist investor has taken an
interest in storage solutions provider NetApp (NTAP, $36.39). According to
dealReporter, its sources say the investor is attracted to the company’s large
cash position. NetApp is frequently the subject of M&A rumors, so this is
nothing new. Also, NetApp has a market cap of nearly $13 billion.
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| Monday, May 13, 2013, 11:53 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Facebook for Waze? |
Rumors continue to swirl that Facebook (FB, $27.10) is in
advanced talks to purchase social traffic & mapping app Waze for roughly $1
billion. This would be a smart purchase for Facebook, as the social networking giant looks to extend its mobile
reach. Waze would also give Facebook a competitive offering to put up against
Google Maps.
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| Monday, May 13, 2013, 9:35 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Technicals Update: LinkedIn |
LinkedIn (LNKD, $172.50) shares have taken out the 50-day moving average
of $178.48 to the downside. There’s minor support at $168.55 and $165.02 from
April.
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| Friday, May 10, 2013, 4:02 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Weekend Reading: Tech-Stock Prospector on Kindle |
Read the May 2013 issue of Tech-Stock Prospector on your
Kindle or Kindle for iPad/iPhone app.
Order the new issue of TSP for Kindle here.
Here are some of the topics covered in the May 2013 issue:
*Cloud software shines in Q1 earnings season
*NetSuite shows why it’s a cloud leader
*ServiceNow expanding its addressable
market
*Proofpoint raises guidance on key
security wins
*SPS Commerce builds its customer base
*Sourcefire raging in networking
security
*Adobe Systems gets traction in the
cloud
*A valuation
reset for Citrix Systems
*Yahoo focuses on content & mobile
*Fusion-IO diversifies its customer
portfolio
*LinkedIn disrupts enterprise recruiting
*New growth
drivers at Microsoft
*Apple readies its next product cycle
*Akamai sees growth in cloud
infrastructure
*Riverbed Technology tries to find
footing
*A new
capital allocation strategy at Harmonic
*Deal Report: Marketo IPO overview
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| Friday, May 10, 2013, 3:52 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| 8 TSP Tech Disruptors for 2013--May Update |
We selected our 8 TSP Tech Disruptor companies for 2013 in
the December 2012 issue of Tech-Stock
Prospector (TSP #130).
Here is a look at how the stocks are performing so far this
year. We compare the current share prices to the prices listed in the December
issue.
8 TSP Tech Disruptors
for 2013 (ranked by return)
|
Company
|
Price
then
|
Price now
|
% change
|
|
1-Splunk (SPLK)
|
$27.89
|
$44.76
|
60.4%
|
|
2-NetSuite (N)
|
59.51
|
90.91
|
52.7
|
|
3-Guidewire Software (GWRE)
|
29.47
|
43.20
|
46.5
|
|
4-Workday (WDAY)
|
49.70
|
67.49
|
35.7
|
|
5-ServiceNow (NOW)
|
29.30
|
39.44
|
34.6
|
|
6-Ultimate Software (ULTI)
|
92.21
|
112.03
|
21.4
|
|
7-Imperva (IMPV)
|
32.02
|
37.39
|
16.7
|
|
8-Palo Alto Networks (PANW)
|
49.95
|
50.10
|
0.3
|
|
Average return
|
|
|
33.5%
|
Some notes:
*Splunk shares
today hit a new post-IPO high of $45.12. The company went public in April 2012
at $17 a share and opened for trading at $32.
*NetSuite shares
in 2012 rose 65.9%. The stock today hit a new all-time high at $91.14.
*Guidewire Software
shares today hit a new all-time high at $43.43.
*Workday shares
today hit a new post-IPO high at $67.75. The company went public in October
2012 at $28 a share and opened for trading at $48.05.
*The two security names in the group (Imperva & Palo Alto
Networks) are the laggards.
Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
|
| |
| Friday, May 10, 2013, 9:03 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| OpCo Bullish on Workday |
OpCo starts coverage of Workday (WDAY, $64.96) at
‘Outperform’ with a price target of $80, saying the cloud-software company is
only lightly penetrated into a very large TAM opportunity.
For more on Workday, see the March 2013 issue of Tech-Stock
Prospector (TSP #133).
|
| |
| Thursday, May 9, 2013, 4:17 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Priceline Q1 Revenue +25% |
Priceline.com (PCLN, $737) reports Q1 EPS of $5.76, 49 cents
above the consensus estimate, on revenue of $1.3 billion (+25.6% y/y), vs. the
consensus of $1.28 billion. The guidance for Q1 was EPS of $4.90 to $5.30 on
revenue of $1.214 million to $1.286 million.
For Q2, the company sees EPS of $8.87 to $9.45 (below the
consensus of $9.58) on revenue of $1.524 billion to $1.591 billion, vs. the
consensus of $1.64 billion.
|
| |
| Thursday, May 9, 2013, 11:17 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| TSP May Issue Available on Kindle |
Read the May 2013 issue of Tech-Stock Prospector on your
Kindle or Kindle for iPad/iPhone app.
Order the new issue of TSP for Kindle here.
Here are some of the topics covered in the May 2013 issue:
*Cloud software shines in Q1 earnings season
*NetSuite shows why it’s a cloud leader
*ServiceNow expanding its addressable
market
*Proofpoint raises guidance on key
security wins
*SPS Commerce builds its customer base
*Sourcefire raging in networking
security
*Adobe Systems gets traction in the
cloud
*A valuation
reset for Citrix Systems
*Yahoo focuses on content & mobile
*Fusion-IO diversifies its customer
portfolio
*LinkedIn disrupts enterprise recruiting
*New growth
drivers at Microsoft
*Apple readies its next product cycle
*Akamai sees growth in cloud
infrastructure
*Riverbed Technology tries to find
footing
*A new
capital allocation strategy at Harmonic
*Deal
Report: Marketo IPO overview
|
| |
| Thursday, May 9, 2013, 10:02 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Rackspace Dives |
Rackspace Hosting (RAX, $39.40) shares today are off 24% on
reduced growth expectations. For Q2, the company sees revenue of $369 million
to $375 million, below the consensus estimate of $384.4 million. For the March
quarter, Rackspace reported EPS of 19 cents, one cent below the consensus, on
revenue of $362.2 million (+20% y/y), vs. the consensus of $367.2 million.
|
| |
| Wednesday, May 8, 2013, 7:32 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| TSP May Issue Available on NOOK |
Read the May 2013 issue of Tech-Stock Prospector on your
Barnes & Noble NOOK.
Order the new issue of TSP for NOOK here.
Here are some of the topics covered in the May 2013 issue:
*Cloud software shines in Q1 earnings season
*NetSuite shows why it’s a cloud leader
*ServiceNow expanding its addressable
market
*Proofpoint raises guidance on key
security wins
*SPS Commerce builds its customer base
*Sourcefire raging in networking
security
*Adobe Systems gets traction in the
cloud
*A valuation
reset for Citrix Systems
*Yahoo focuses on content & mobile
*Fusion-IO diversifies its customer
portfolio
*LinkedIn disrupts enterprise recruiting
*New growth
drivers at Microsoft
*Apple readies its next product cycle
*Akamai sees growth in cloud
infrastructure
*Riverbed Technology tries to find
footing
*A new
capital allocation strategy at Harmonic
*Deal
Report: Marketo IPO overview
|
| |
| Wednesday, May 8, 2013, 5:24 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Palo Alto Networks Shows Relative Weakness |
Shares of networking security specialist Palo Alto Networks
(PANW, $49.50) today slipped below recent support at the April low of $50.29,
falling 5.8% on heavy volume.
After the close, the company set the date for its fiscal Q3
earnings results (May 30) and did not negatively pre-announce, so investors
might see that as a positive sign given what has been going on in the
networking sector (lots of deal push-outs) over the past several weeks.
|
| |
| Wednesday, May 8, 2013, 11:23 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Electronic Arts Jumps 15% |
Shares of videogame maker Electronic Arts (EA, $21.28) this
morning are up 15% on heavy volume. The stock has rebounded 97% from the
52-week low of $10.77 set in July. For more on EA, see the March 2013 issue of
Tech-Stock Prospector (TSP #133).
|
| |
| Wednesday, May 8, 2013, 9:14 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Yahoo for Hulu? |
Sources tell the All Things D website that Yahoo (YHOO, $26.07) CEO
Marissa Mayer recently kicked the tires at Hulu, but that no formal offer has
been made for the up-for-sale premium video service, which has roughly 4
million premium subscribers. Other potential buyers for all or part of Hulu:
Chernin Group, Guggenheim Partners and Amazon.
|
| |
| Tuesday, May 7, 2013, 5:32 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Technicals Update: Intel |
With Intel (INTC, $24.15) shares having rallied over the past few weeks, the
50-day moving average has turned up (it’s now at $21.83) and has crossed above
the 200-day moving average at $21.81.
|
| |
| Tuesday, May 7, 2013, 9:46 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Technicals Update: Apple |
Apple (AAPL, $462.05) shares are approaching the March high
of $469.95. After that, there’s resistance at $484.94 from February. After a
long slide that started in October, the 50-day moving average has stabilized at
$433.33.
|
| |
| Tuesday, May 7, 2013, 9:08 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| CommVault FQ4 Tops Expectations |
CommVault Systems (CVLT, $83.66 pre market, +7%), a provider
of storage-management solutions, reports fiscal Q4 (March) EPS of 41 cents,
seven cents above the consensus estimate, on revenue of $138.3 million (+21%
y/y), vs. the consensus of $133.9 million. A record number of enterprise
software deals drove the quarter.
For fiscal 2013, revenue
rose 22% to $495.9 million.
|
| |
| Monday, May 6, 2013, 3:51 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Topeka Capital Upbeat on Skyworks |
Topeka Capital restarts coverage of mobile chipmaker Skyworks
Solutions (SWKS, $23.03) at ‘Buy’ with a price target of $25 based on the company's growth prospects in the smartphone segment. For fiscal 2013
(Sept.), the consensus EPS estimate of $2.16 indicates growth of 13.6%.
|
| |
| Monday, May 6, 2013, 12:36 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Tableau Software Sets IPO Price Range |
Tableau Software (proposed symbol: DATA), a provider of
enterprise analytics solutions, has set the price range for its upcoming IPO at
$23 to $26 a share for an initial valuation in the $1.32 billion to $1.49
billion range.
For more on Tableau, see
the April 2013 issue of Tech-Stock Prospector (TSP #134).
|
| |
| Monday, May 6, 2013, 9:02 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Barclays Raises Apple Target |
Barclays raises its Apple (AAPL, $449.98) price target to
$525 from $465, saying the near-term outlook is improving, with gross margin
estimates for the June and September quarter conservative ahead of a new
product cycle. The firm also thinks the buyback provides relief to the recent
downside pressure on the stock.
|
| |
| Friday, May 3, 2013, 1:35 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Weekend Reading: Tech-Stock Prospector on Kindle |
Read the April 2013 issue of Tech-Stock Prospector on your Amazon Kindle or Kindle
for iPad/iPhone app.
Last chance to order the April issue here before the May issue comes out next week.
Here are some of the topics covered in
the April 2013 issue:
*Oracle in
recovery after a tough quarter
*Yelp disrupts
local search
*TripAdvisor
expands its global presence
*Deal delays trip up F5
Networks
*Is Citrix Systems
getting more competitive?
*How Aruba Networks
steers wireless traffic
*Tableau Software
is ready for the IPO spotlight
*Big Data: EMC
and VMware launch Pivotal
*An activist investor tries to shake things up at Harmonic
*Why Palo Alto
Networks is the rising star in security
*Juniper Networks
attempts to rebound after a tough year
*Marin Software
optimizes digital advertising from the cloud
*Electronic Arts
seeks a new CEO to help reignite growth
*Fortinet battles
for market share in networking security
*Deal Report: Model N
finds growth in a software niche
|
| |
| Friday, May 3, 2013, 10:56 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Technicals Update: LinkedIn |
Shares of LinkedIn (LNKD, $182.97) today are down more than
9% on heavy volume. Profit taking is to be expected after the big run since the
end of 2012. The stock is now back into its trading range that extends to the
start of March, but remains above its 50-day moving average of $177.09.
|
| |
| Friday, May 3, 2013, 9:02 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Goldman Remains Positive on LinkedIn |
Goldman Sachs thinks Q2 guidance from LinkedIn (LNKD, $182.75 pre
market, -9.2%) is likely conservative. The firm sees LinkedIn’s overall growth
trajectory as unchanged. For Q2, LinkedIn looks for revenue of $342 million to
$347 million, vs. the consensus of $359.2 million. Goldman reduces its price
target by $10 to $210.
|
| |
| Thursday, May 2, 2013, 3:35 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Yelp Jumps 24% |
Shares of Yelp (YELP, $31.47) today are up 24% on heavy
volume after the company reported impressive Q1 results (revenue +68% and
average monthly unique visitors +43%) and raised 2013 revenue guidance. The
stock reached a new all-time high at $32.14.
Mobile continues to be a key growth driver, with 45% of all
Q1 searches on the Yelp mobile app; including searches on the mobile Web takes
this figure up to 56%. The Yelp app is now installed on more than 10 million
mobile devices, up from 9.2 million in Q4. Roughly 36% of all local business
ads in Q1 were shown on mobile devices, up from 25% in Q4.
For 2013, Yelp now sees revenue coming in at $216 million to
$218 million, up from previous guidance of $210 million to $212 million. The new guidance midpoint represents
58% growth.
We featured Yelp in the April 2013 issue of Tech-Stock
Prospector. You can still order the April issue here for your Amazon Kindle or
Kindle for iPad/iPhone reading app.
|
| |
| Thursday, May 2, 2013, 12:01 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Technicals Update: Google |
After pushing through short-term resistance at $819.25, Google
(GOOG, $833.89) shares are approaching the all-time high of $844. The RSI is
rising from 62.9.
|
| |
| Thursday, May 2, 2013, 10:39 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Goldman Remains Positive on Facebook |
Goldman Sachs remains positive on Facebook (FB, $28.22),
reiterating its ‘Buy’ rating and $40 price target following Q1 earnings results.
The firm is most impressed with growth in Facebook’s mobile ad revenue and
thinks momentum around FBX, Custom Audiences and video ads is just getting
started.
|
| |
| Thursday, May 2, 2013, 9:19 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Intel Names New CEO |
Brian Krzanich, COO of Intel (INTC, $23.99) since January
2012, has been named the new CEO, succeeding Paul Otellini. Krzanich, who
joined Intel in 1982, will become the sixth CEO in the company’s history.
|
| |
| Wednesday, May 1, 2013, 4:28 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Facebook Reports In-Line Q1 Results |
Facebook (FB, $27.43) reports Q1 EPS of 12 cents, one cent
below the consensus estimate, on revenue of $1.46 billion (+38% y/y), vs. the
consensus of $1.44 billion.
The key metrics:
*Daily active users: 665 million +26%
*Monthly active users: 1.11 billion +23%
*DAU/MAU engagement: 59.9%, up from 58.3% in Q4
*Mobile MAU: 751 million +54%
*Mobile-only MAU: 189 million +20% sequentially
*Ad revenue (85% of total revenue): $1.25 billion +43%
*Mobile ad revenue: $375 million +22.5% sequentially
*Mobile ad revenue = 30% of total revenue, up from 23% in Q4
and above expectations
|
| |
| Wednesday, May 1, 2013, 12:06 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Sourcefire Strong |
Shares of Sourcefire (FIRE, $52.39), a provider of
networking security solutions, today are up more than 9% on heavy volume after
the company reaffirmed 2013 revenue growth guidance of at least 25% despite
significant Q1 weakness in the U.S. federal business.
|
| |
| Wednesday, May 1, 2013, 10:27 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Wunderlich Bullish on LinkedIn Into Q1 Report |
Wunderlich Securities looks for LinkedIn (LNKD, $191.43) to report
strong Q1 results tomorrow after the close, saying it expects increasing levels of engagement
to drive upside to the Marketing Solutions unit and growth of new Recruiter
customers to continue to drive Talent Solutions revenue.
The firm expects a beat-and-raise report. It does point out
that expectations and the valuation are high. So far this year, LinkedIn shares
have advanced 66%.
|
| |
| Wednesday, May 1, 2013, 9:04 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
| Ultimate Reports Solid Q1 Results |
Ultimate Software (ULTI, $96.59), a provider of cloud-based HCM solutions, last night reported Q1 EPS
of 32 cents, six cents above the consensus estimate, on revenue of $97.9
million (+25.2% y/y), in line with the consensus. Recurring revenue rose 28%.
For Q2, the company sees revenue of $97 million, vs. the
consensus of $98.2 million. For 2013, recurring revenue is expected to be up
25%. Revenue guidance for the year of roughly $408.7 million (growth of 23%)
compares to the consensus of $409.3 million.
Following the results,
Canaccord Genuity upgrades Ultimate to ‘Buy’ and raises its price target to
$110 from $105.
|